Tensions between India and Bangladesh have escalated in recent weeks, driven by political uncertainty in Dhaka, diplomatic disagreements, and growing public anger on both sides. However, despite the strain in bilateral relations, economic and trade ties between the two neighbours continue largely uninterrupted, underscoring their deep interdependence.
Diplomatic Friction Over Sheikh Hasina
A major point of contention is India’s expectation that former Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, who is currently in India, should be sent back to Bangladesh. The issue has generated strong reactions in Dhaka, with sections of the political class and the public accusing India of interference. This disagreement has further complicated relations at a time when Bangladesh is already grappling with internal instability.
Rising Unrest and Security Concerns
The political crisis has been accompanied by serious security concerns. Reports of attacks on Hindu minorities and the killing of student leader Sharif Osman Bin Hadi have intensified fears of lawlessness in Bangladesh. The death of Hadi, a prominent student activist, triggered widespread protests and further destabilised the situation.
In several demonstrations, anti-India slogans were raised, and some protesters went as far as issuing threats against India’s northeastern region, commonly known as the Seven Sisters. These developments have raised alarm in New Delhi, given the region’s strategic sensitivity.
Interim Government Faces Economic Challenges
Under the interim leadership of Muhammad Yunus, Bangladesh is experiencing both political uncertainty and economic stress. Inflationary pressures, job insecurity, and disruptions to governance have added to public dissatisfaction. Analysts note that prolonged instability could weaken investor confidence and slow economic growth.
India: Bangladesh’s Most Important Neighbour
Geography plays a decisive role in the relationship. India surrounds Bangladesh on three sides, sharing a border of approximately 4,097 km—about 94 per cent of Bangladesh’s total international boundary. This proximity makes India one of Bangladesh’s most crucial partners, not only politically but also economically and socially.
Every year, a large number of Bangladeshi citizens travel to India for employment, education, and medical treatment, further strengthening people-to-people ties.
Bangladesh’s Dependence on Indian Imports
Bangladesh relies heavily on India for several essential commodities required for daily life and industrial production. Key imports include:
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Rice: Bangladesh purchases significant quantities of Indian non-basmati rice. Recently, an agreement was signed to import 50,000 tonnes from an Indian company.
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Sugar: India supplies raw sugar, which is refined locally to meet domestic demand.
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Potatoes and Onions: India is a major supplier, exporting about 7.24 lakh tonnes of onions and 3.5 lakh tonnes of potatoes in 2023–24.
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Spices: Essential spices such as chilli, turmeric, cumin, and ginger are largely sourced from India.
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Medicines: Bangladesh imports affordable Indian generic medicines for diabetes and other common ailments.
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Textiles: The garment industry, a backbone of Bangladesh’s economy, depends heavily on Indian yarn and fabrics, employing millions of workers.
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Petroleum Products: India supplies diesel and other fuels through pipeline and long-term contractual arrangements.
Trade Ties Remain Resilient
Despite political tensions, trade between the two countries continues to benefit both sides. Experts warn that any major disruption in imports from India would hurt Bangladesh more severely, given its dependence on Indian goods for food security, healthcare, and industrial inputs.
While diplomacy remains strained, economic realities continue to bind the two neighbours closely—highlighting that stability and cooperation remain essential for the region’s long-term peace and prosperity.