Tejashwi Yadav Still Leads, But Popularity Slipping

RJD leader and former Deputy Chief Minister Tejashwi Yadav remains the frontrunner in the race to become Bihar’s next Chief Minister. According to the latest C-Voter survey, conducted in June 2025, 35% of respondents prefer Tejashwi for the top post.

While he continues to enjoy the lead, the RJD chief’s popularity has seen a steady dip over the past few months—from 41% in February to 36% in April, and now down to 35%. Tejashwi, who is spearheading the INDIA coalition campaign in Bihar, has been focusing on promises of youth employment, social justice, and a counter-narrative to the BJP-led NDA’s agenda.

Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Makes Steady Gains

Political strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishor is emerging as a formidable challenger. His outfit, Jan Suraaj, has seen a steady rise in public support, climbing from 15% in February to 18% in June.

Kishor’s appeal lies in his critique of traditional party politics and his strong anti-dynasty rhetoric. His populist messaging and vision of a “new Bihar” are resonating with voters who are disillusioned with the status quo.

Chirag Paswan: Kingmaker in the Making?

Chirag Paswan, leader of Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) and Union Minister, is increasingly becoming a name to watch. Though not yet seen as a serious contender for the CM post, his growing support base and vocal presence in state politics could position him as a kingmaker in the event of a fractured mandate.

Paswan’s party, with its grassroots reach and aggressive campaign style, could tilt the scales during the post-poll arithmetic, making him a crucial player in the state’s power equation.

Nitish Kumar: Wounded But Not Weak

JD(U) leader Nitish Kumar, currently seen as the likely CM face of the NDA, is facing waning public approval amid accusations of frequent party-switching and administrative inertia. However, his long political career and deep experience continue to make him a tough competitor.

Despite the setbacks, Nitish’s presence lends stability to the NDA camp, and his political savvy could yet secure a comeback.

Alliances Will Shape the Final Picture

As the campaign trail intensifies, it’s clear that party alliances and electoral mathematics will ultimately decide Bihar’s next Chief Minister. No single leader seems to hold an unassailable lead, and the growing influence of independent political voices could fracture the traditional power blocs.

A Battle of Merit, Vision, and Connection

The upcoming election promises to be one of the most unpredictable in recent Bihar history. While Tejashwi Yadav maintains a narrow lead, Prashant Kishor’s steady rise and Chirag Paswan’s potential influence make the contest wide open.

One thing is certain: the next Chief Minister of Bihar will not simply be chosen by party loyalty but by their merit, strategic approach, and ability to connect with a more politically aware and aspirational electorate.

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