Turkey Eyes Entry into Saudi-Pakistan Pact: Birth of an ‘Islamic NATO’ Raises Alarms for India

A New Trilateral Defence Bloc Could Reshape Middle East and South Asian Security

Turkey is on the verge of entering a strategic defence alliance with Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, a move that analysts believe could reshape security dynamics across the Middle East and South Asia. Described by observers as the emergence of an “Islamic NATO,” the evolving partnership reflects shifting geopolitical priorities amid changing global power equations.

First Naval Talks Signal Strategic Momentum

Advanced negotiations among the three countries gained visible momentum this week with their first-ever trilateral naval talks held in Ankara, confirmed by Turkey’s defence ministry. The discussions indicate that the alliance is moving beyond conceptual stages into operational coordination, particularly in maritime security and defence planning.

Origins of the Defence Pact

The foundation of the alliance was laid in September 2025, when Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed a mutual defence agreement modeled on NATO’s Article 5, committing both nations to collective defence in the event of an external attack. Turkey’s anticipated entry would significantly strengthen the bloc’s military and strategic profile.

Division of Strategic Strengths

Each member brings distinct capabilities to the proposed alliance:

  • Saudi Arabia contributes vast financial resources backed by oil revenues.

  • Pakistan provides strategic deterrence through its nuclear arsenal and ballistic missile capabilities, the only such capability among Islamic nations.

  • Turkey adds a battle-hardened military, advanced defence manufacturing, and proven drone warfare technology, with potential technology transfers to Pakistan.

Together, these assets could create a formidable regional security framework.

Political Orientation and Regional Outlook

Led primarily by Sunni Muslim nations, the bloc is reportedly inclined toward dialogue with Iran, support for a stable Syrian government, and advocacy for Palestinian statehood. Analysts view this approach as an attempt to balance regional tensions while asserting strategic autonomy from Western-led alliances.

Ankara-based strategist Nihat Ali Ozkan noted that the alliance reflects changing global alignments, stating that the United States is increasingly prioritizing its own interests and those of Israel, prompting regional powers to reassess alliances across South Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

India Watches Closely Amid Security Concerns

The developing alliance has triggered concern in New Delhi, particularly given Turkey’s vocal support for Pakistan during the May 2025 Operation Sindoor conflict, which concluded with a ceasefire. Indian strategic analysts fear that the bloc’s stance on Kashmir could tilt regional security equations, even if the alliance’s broader focus remains on Middle Eastern geopolitics.

Potential Impact on Regional Power Balance

While the alliance is not explicitly positioned as anti-India, its evolving military coordination and political messaging could create new strategic pressures in South Asia. India is expected to monitor developments closely, especially any military cooperation involving advanced technology or intelligence sharing.

Conclusion

As negotiations progress, the international community is watching to see whether this emerging “Muslim NATO” becomes a lasting counterforce to existing global security structures. If formalized, the alliance could mark a significant shift in regional defence cooperation, redefining power balances from the Middle East to South Asia.

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