After witnessing a significant rainfall deficit of nearly 47% in June, Odisha is expected to receive widespread rainfall in the coming days as a fresh cyclonic circulation over the Bay of Bengal is set to strengthen weather activity across the state. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast good rainfall over the next seven days, bringing much-needed relief to farmers and easing concerns over the delayed monsoon.
Fresh Low-Pressure Area to Develop
According to IMD Director General Dr. Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, a cyclonic circulation currently lies over the north Bay of Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh. It is likely to develop into a low-pressure area over the northwest Bay of Bengal, near the Odisha-West Bengal coast, by July 3.
The system is expected to move west-northwestwards as a low-pressure area and is unlikely to intensify into a depression. However, meteorologists say that if it moves slowly, it could trigger more widespread and heavier rainfall across Odisha.
Heavy Rainfall Forecast
The IMD has predicted rainfall across most parts of Odisha until July 5, with isolated places likely to receive heavy to very heavy rainfall. The seasonal outlook for July also suggests normal to above-normal rainfall, particularly over central and interior Odisha, where the state’s geographical features are expected to enhance monsoon activity.
Relief for Farmers
The expected rainfall during the first two weeks of July is crucial for paddy cultivation. It is likely to compensate for the rainfall deficit recorded in June, enabling farmers to begin paddy transplantation and sowing operations without major disruptions.
El Niño May Strengthen Later
Globally, a weak El Niño has already developed and is expected to strengthen to moderate levels in July and August before becoming strong by September. However, weather experts expect the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) to shift into a positive phase, which could offset the adverse effects of El Niño and help maintain favourable monsoon conditions during September and October.
Humid Weather to Continue
While no heatwave conditions are expected during the first week of July due to frequent rainfall, the IMD has warned that high humidity levels will make the weather uncomfortable on days without rain, leading to sultry conditions across the state.