The Indian rupee has once again come under pressure against the US dollar, reflecting renewed volatility in the foreign exchange market. On Thursday, early trading saw the dollar crossing the ₹94 mark, weakening the domestic currency further by 20 paise compared to the previous session.
Global Oil Prices Add Pressure on Currency
The depreciation is largely driven by rising international crude oil prices, which have surged above $100 per barrel amid ongoing geopolitical tensions between Iran and the United States. The lack of agreement on a ceasefire has kept global markets uncertain, directly impacting emerging market currencies like the rupee.
Forex Market Movement
In the previous trading session, the rupee had closed at ₹93.80 against the dollar. The latest movement shows a clear downward trend, with the exchange rate nearing ₹94 per dollar. This indicates that more rupees are now required to purchase a single US dollar, highlighting weakening currency strength.
Impact on Imports and Economy
Economists warn that a weaker rupee could increase India’s import bill, especially since the country heavily depends on imported crude oil. Higher fuel costs may also lead to inflationary pressure in the domestic economy. Additionally, foreign education and overseas travel expenses are expected to become more expensive for Indian citizens.
RBI’s Limited Intervention
According to market analysts, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has not actively intervened in the current phase of depreciation. Increased dollar demand from oil marketing companies has further intensified pressure on the rupee.
Experts note that while RBI intervention had previously helped stabilize the currency near ₹92.50 levels, recent global developments have reversed that recovery trend. The rupee had briefly strengthened earlier after a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions, but renewed uncertainty has again triggered depreciation.
Outlook Remains Uncertain
With crude oil prices remaining elevated and global geopolitical risks persisting, analysts expect continued volatility in the rupee’s movement in the coming days.